DFS First Look – Week 3

week 3

Written By: Austin Lee Twitter: @AustinLee365FF

Another crazy, injury-riddled week of NFL action is in the books and to quote Bill Belichick, “We’re on to Cincinnati.” It wasn’t as successful of a week as I was hoping for, but it was another week of positive earnings and a 100% cash rate on the season so far, so I’ll take it.

The week 3 salaries are officially up and I’ve put my pen to paper on some of the players that have caught my attention. I’ll share those with you below and resume my homework over the coming days to narrow that list down. Be sure to check back in by the end of the week for the week 3 DFS targets.

Quarterbacks:

Remember – if you don’t pay up for a QB with high rushing ability, finding a QB that has a logical path to produce 300+ passing yards to attain the 3-point bonus on Draft Kings is key.

Kyler Murray @ Jacksonville – $8,300

Murray is playing out of his mind right now and has a clear hold on the QB1 position. That price tag is getting steep enough that it’s going to be tough to construct a roster capable of competing for top prize money. That’s why he’s a great GPP play this week – most people are going to stay away from him because they don’t dig deep enough to be in a position to pay up for him and construct a logical roster around him. If you can piece it together, you’ll be able to launch yourself up the leaderboard.

Russell Wilson @ Minnesota – $7,600

My initial thoughts at first glance is that Wilson will be highly rostered this week. He’s got just as much upside as Kyler, but $700 cheaper so it will be interesting to see how the roster percentages shake out. This is definitely a matchup where both offenses should push each other, so it definitely has my attention.

Justin Herbert @ Kansas City – $6,500

Herbert has been pretty disappointing through the first two weeks. Not surprising to me, though, as I warned against him all offseason that if you draft him expecting a top 6 QB on the season, you’re going to be disappointed. With that said, he certainly will have those types of weeks and this could be one of those. The Chiefs are…well, the Chiefs. They are going to push the pace of play and force Herbert and company to keep up. I’m curious to see how the ownership percentages shake out with him. If he comes in sub-6%, count me in.

Honorable Mentions – Kirk Cousins, Ryan Tannehill, Daniel Jones, Trevor Lawrence, Matt Ryan

Running Backs:

Dalvin Cook vs. Seattle – $8,400

It’s all about the pace of play for me. This matchup could hit the over and with Cook being held out of the end zone in week 2, I certainly expect him to account for at least 1 touchdown in week 3 and could easily rack up 100 yards to get that bonus for you as well.

Austin Ekeler @ Kansas City – $7,200

At this price tag, I can’t help but think this is borderline theft. He’s going to be heavily featured in a game that could easily hit the over. Ekeler has a path to a multi-touchdown game here.

Saquon Barkley vs. Atlanta – $6,500

Barkley has not looked good at all over the first two weeks, but the matchups have been incredibly tough for anyone, let alone a running back coming off a nasty knee injury. His salary is taking a hit and DFS players could reap the benefits. This is an excellent opportunity for Barkley to have a big bounce back game.

Honorable Mentions – Najee Harris, Melvin Gordon, Jamaal Williams, James White, Javonte Williams, Clyde Edwards-Helaire, Michael Carter, Gio Bernard

Wide Receivers:

DeAndre Hopkins @ Jacksonville – $8,200

Hopkins has looked great through the first two weeks and is Kyler’s clear favorite target. They’re playing Jacksonville. I love Kyler this week, so it just makes too much sense to get the stack.

Keenan Allen @ Kansas City – $6,600

Allen has had 21 targets through 2 weeks and has had 100 yards in both games. The only negative is he hasn’t gotten a touchdown. This is a perfect matchup for him to get his first one of the season. I’m loving the Herbert/Ekeler/Allen stacks this week.

Courtland Sutton vs. New York Jets – $6,000

12 targets and 159 yards in week 2 against Jacksonville was a bit surprising, but the Jets are coming to town next, so it’s not much stiffer competition. Sutton could certainly break that 100-yard line again and if he’s able to find pay dirt, he’s going to be a steal at only $6k.

Honorable Mentions – Lockett, Metcalf, Kupp, Julio, Godwin, Kirk, R. Moore, Beasley, Renfrow, Slayton, Osborn, Guyton

Tight Ends:

Travis Kelce vs. Los Angeles Chargers – $8,200

We don’t really need to explain why to play Kelce, do we?

Darren Waller vs. Miami – $7,400

Waller is almost in the same category of Kelce in terms of not needing to explain it, but he was contained last week while teammate Foster Moreau came out of nowhere with a solid fantasy performance. I look for Waller to bounce back in a big way this week.

Rob Gronkowski @ Los Angeles Rams – $5,500

His salary is starting to creep up after two big weeks. This may end up being a defensive showdown. We know a couple of things about Tom Brady by this point in his career – he’s the GOAT and he hates getting hit. If he faces pressure early in this game, Brady may be looking to his security blanket often. Gronk has the same ceiling as Kelce and Waller but will save you a ton of money. The question will be where his roster percentage ends up.

Honorable Mentions – Mark Andrews, Noah Fant, Evan Engram (if active).