Written By: Austin Lee Twitter: @AustinLee365FF
Week 2 is upon us, folks! As promised, I’m back with the weekly DFS rundown. Join myself and my co-host, Ky Fountain every Monday, Wednesday and Friday for new episodes of the 365 Fantasy Football podcasts. We talk DFS every Friday and if that’s not enough for you, we have extra DFS content each and every week throughout the season on the bonus show. You can get access by signing up to support the show at patreon.com/365fantasyfootball.
For all those that are new to DFS or those that just haven’t invested time into researching DFS, it’s very important to dictate which type of contest you want to play in or what your bank account will allow. You can choose between GPP and cash games. While it’s all the same process, each one requires a completely different strategy, so think of it like this: For cash games, you want to raise your floor as you only need to beat half the field. For GPPs, you want to raise your ceiling.
If your goal is long-term and sustained success at winning a little extra cash each week, cash games is your best route. If you are more into high risk, high reward scenarios then GPPs are the place to be. If you opt for the GPP game play, you must first accept the high volatility of it and understand that losing is normal. If you are able to cash out at a 50% rate in GPP, that is considered success.
Top Implied Team Totals
Tampa Bay (32.25)
Green Bay (29.5)
Los Angeles Chargers (29.5)
Lowest Implied Team Totals
New York Giants (18.5)
Games To Attack – Implied Totals In Parenthesis
Dallas (26) @ LAC (29.5)
Juicy over/under in this one (55.5) and it certainly has a logical path to hit the over. Both of these offenses are strong enough to continue to push each other and that’s exactly what you’re looking for when playing GPP tournaments. Both of these teams were in the top 5 in number of plays ran in week 1. This contest will draw a lot of attention from the field, though, so keep that in mind if you opt to go all in on it. If you’re playing cash games, you’ll be fine playing the chalk, but for GPP you will need to look for ways to get different. Most of the attention is going to be on the quarterbacks and receivers, which is understandable, but that means Zeke and Ekeler are the odd guys out. If you’re playing multiple GPP lineups, you’ll want to have some shares of them.
Popular Stacking Options: Dak/Cooper/Lamb/Allen, Herbert/Allen/Lamb, Dak/Zeke/Lamb/Allen, Herbert/Ekeler/Allen/Cooper
Arizona (27.25) vs. Minnesota (23.75)
Arizona’s defense looked pretty solid against Tennessee last week, but was their secondary that improved or was Tennessee (running a new offense with a new coordinator) just not prepared? On paper, Arizona’s secondary is among the worst in the league. The Minnesota offense was a bit of a letdown last week, but they ran the 6th most plays in week 1 and boasted a 70.7% pass rate. Arizona should be able to push the pace of play and force the Vikings to run a high amount of plays and passes again. I look for the Vikings receivers to have a solid day and am very interested in them for GPP.
Popular Stacking Options: Murray/Hopkins/Thielen, Cousins/Cook/Jefferson/Hopkins, Murray/Edmonds/Hopkins/Jefferson, Cousins/Jefferson/Thielen/Kirk
Atlanta (19.75) @ Tampa Bay (32.25)
Yeah, on paper this is projected to be a blowout. Atlanta looked awful in week 1, but last season they were able to hang with Tampa Bay twice (and both without Julio). Both games in 2020 were decided by one score. At the end of the day, if you’re playing this one hoping Atlanta can right the ship and hang with Tampa Bay offensively again. Tampa Bay had a 78.1% pass rate in week 1. Chris Godwin and Antonio Brown were stellar, but Mike Evans was beyond disappointing. That means a lot of people are going to be dismissing him as a GPP option for week 2 and that signifies that he’s a great play to create leverage. Over his career against Atlanta (13 games), Evans has averaged 82 receiving yards per game and we know he’s more than capable of racking up multiple touchdowns.
Atlanta was among the league-leaders in 3+ wide receiver sets in 2020, but flipped the script in week 1. The concerning thing was that even playing from behind all game last week, Atlanta only had a pass rate of 59.4%. Hopefully that was just an outlier, as the encouraging aspect was the Falcons were number 1 in seconds per play against the Eagles. The trickiest part of attacking this game in GPP will be finding the right combination as there are 6 receiving options that could reach max productivity.
Popular Stacking Options: Brady/Evans/Gronk/Ridley, Ryan/Ridley/Brown/Evans, Brady/Godwin/Evans/Ridley/Pitts
Tennessee (24.25) @ Seattle (29.75)
The Seahawks were dominant against Indianapolis in week 1. Efficiency is the key to this Seattle squad as they ranked 28th in numbers of plays ran last week. Tennessee had no answers for the Cardinals last week and their terrible secondary will now be tasked with slowing down D.K. Metcalf and Tyler Lockett. Vegas isn’t expecting that to happen and neither should you. For cash games, you can play the chalk options with confidence. For GPP, Chris Carson and Derrick Henry are intriguing. Henry’s salary took a decrease from week 1 and Chris Carson has no threat to his workload this week in what projects to be a positive game script.
Popular Stacking Options: Wilson/Metcalf/Brown/Jones, Tannehill/Henry/Brown/Lockett, Wilson/Carson/Metcalf/Jones
DFS Dart Throws
Jalen Guyton ($3,100)
He was on the field for 65% of the snaps in week 1 and was the clear WR3 for the Chargers. This projects as a high-scoring affair and he’s an excellent deep threat option. We saw the Cowboys secondary routinely getting beat like a bass drum last week, so it’s not out of the realm of possibility that Guyton finds pay dirt. This is a great option to pay down at the flex spot with a logical outcome for productivity in GPP.
Cedrick Wilson ($3,100)
Wilson will be stepping in for the injured Michael Gallup. Wilson was peppered with a few targets when he entered the game last week and Gallup had 7 targets before going down. If Dak targets his WR3 with another double-digit target share, Wilson will be a steal at his value, especially if he’s able to get in the end zone. He could easily 6X this week.
Javonte Williams ($4,400)
Williams had more touches than Melvin Gordon last week, but Gordon as able to capitalize with a big 70+ yard touchdown run. With the Broncos facing a porous Jaguars squad that gave up rushing touchdowns to 3 different running backs (to Houston at that) in week 1, I’m willing to pay down here and snag other high-priced options elsewhere.