By Jacob Bourgeois; Twitter: @JacobBourgieFFB
You’re at the third/fourth round turn in your dynasty league rookie draft and you want to take a shot at an upside WR. Both Josh Palmer and Dez Fitzpatrick are in your queue staring back at you …. What do you do? Here’s a quick category battle to help you decide (my conclusion at the end).
Josh Palmer (3rd round, 77th pick – 11th WR taken)
Dez Fitzpatrick (4th round, 109th pick; – 16th WR taken – TEN Traded Up)
Keenan Allen – the chain mover; older
Austin Ekeler – another chain mover and weapon out of the backfield; somewhat fragile
Mike Williams – big target who plays with a nice depth of target / YPR; potentially moving on next year
Josh Palmer – profiles as Mike William’s back-up / replacement / heir
Tyron Johnson – definite field stretcher, 100% true catch rate – shined when filling in for injuries
Jared Cook – big target, seem routes medium depth; older
AJ Brown – YAC attacker does it all receiver
Josh Reynolds – JAG w/ nice height and agility
Dez Fitzpatrick – profiles as a possession receiver
Anthony Firkser – opportunity to gain target share, good rapport with Tannehill
QB / Offense / Outlook Situation
Josh Palmer – Justin Herbert is the future and Josh Palmer should reap the benefits; they’re a passing team with Mike Williams coming to the end of his deal. Josh has been dubbed the MW replacement. It’s noted that Keenan Allen is on the back-nine as well.
Dez Fitzpatrick – Ryan Tannehill is better than we all thought/(think?); they’re a run heavy offense, that hopes to win slow with Defense and big plays through the air.
Age / Year / Break-out Age / Target Share
Josh Palmer – 21 / Senior / 21 BOA (Senior) / 9.4%, 15.5%, 13.9%, 22.8% / 52% catch rate
Dez Fitzpatrick – 23 / Senior / 19 BOA (Freshman) / 16.6%, 14.2%, 21.6%, 22.9% / 57% catch rate
Josh Palmer – 6’1”, 210 Lbs., 4.52s 40, 34” Vertical, 10’4” Broad, 4.24s Shuttle, 6.98 3-Cone Drill
Dez Fitzpatrick – 6’2”, 208 Lbs., 4.49s 40, 35” Vertical, (No broad jump), 4.25s Shuttle, 7.06s 3-Cone Drill
Josh Palmer – makes some nice contested catches but struggles to separate (although he played against tough competition)
Dez Fitzpatrick – nice tracking, nice routes, decent blocker, nice releases, gets open, underwhelming juice.
If you’re in it for the long-haul Josh Palmer may be the play with his higher draft capital and being on Herbert led pass-first offense. If you want to see your guy hit the field right away and have a chance to make his case early it’s Dez Fitzpatrick for me. Because I can never seem to hold on to late bloomers due to my waiver wire activity, I favor Dez.