Hello again, fellow fantasy ballers! D-Swerve here with the week 12 swerve report. While we try not to put the car in reverse, we pride ourselves on our accuracy here at 365 so let’s back up and take a look at the accuracy on the swerve report for last week.
Melvin Gordon, unfortunately for my swerve prediction, was firing on all cylinders and got the tires rolling again. He had a better-than-expected performance of 84 yards and 2 touchdowns on 15 carries for a total of 18.4 fantasy points in PPR formats. Outside of that, hopefully everyone took my advice because the other two swerves were spot on.
Noah Fant and Todd Gurley combined for a total of 13 points last week. Fant had 4 receptions for 55 yards while Gurley ended up in the ditch with 26 yards on only 8 carries for a very poor 3.9 points. Let’s not spend more time in reverse; let’s put this baby in drive and head into week 12 with reckless abandon. This week’s report will ensure you avoid any flat tires as long as you swerve these guys.
Our first swerve this week is none other than Jarvis Landry. Despite OBJ being out and the Browns playing particularly well, Landry just hasn’t been able to gain any traction all season. When OBJ went down after Chubb was placed on IR, everyone thought it was time to add Landry to the love list. That makes sense considering everything that was going on in Cleveland at the time. More targets should equal more receptions. More receptions should equal more fantasy points. Especially losing Chubb and having to rely more on the passing game. However, it’s been the exact opposite. Since Odell and Chubb went down, Landry had double digit fantasy points only one time and he barely got there with just 10 points. He’s in the middle of the worst year as a pro, and it all but seems the target and reception monster from Miami is far in the rearview. With career lows in yards, targets and receptions this year, Landry has yet to eclipse 90 yards and doesn’t have a single game over 5 receptions. With low volume for a wide receiver, a compelling stat to look at is how often they reach the promised land and so far, Landry has yet to haul in a touchdown reception. Talk about a complete letdown! Whatever you do, do not let Jarvis Landry throw sugar in the gas tank this week and stall your engine as we head into the fantasy playoffs. Landry is a must swerve for week 12.
The second swerve on this week’s report is non other than Saints (actual) tight end, Jared Cook. Taysom Hill was a sneaky play last week in ESPN leagues, but it came at the expense of Cook. He has 3 or fewer receptions in all but 2 games this season. He has had more than 60 total yards in only one game this year and has now not found paydirt in 3 consecutive games. I think the scariest part of not swerving Cook is that those stats are all while playing with an actual quarterback in Drew Brees. That’s no knock on Taysom Hill, it’s simply the facts in this scenario. Knowing what we do on Drew Brees’ injury, I would advise sitting Cook for the foreseeable future. Cook had only one target with Hill under center and Hill didn’t throw a single touchdown pass in his first outing as the starter. Things are entirely too risky to chance it with Cook moving forward. It’s time to pump the brakes and swerve Jared Cook so you can pave the way to Victory Road.
The third and final swerve for week 12 is none other than “Gronk”. Rob Gronkowski came out of retirement to join Tom Brady in Tampa Bay and reassert himself as a dominant force in football. After a significant amount of praise in the offseason, expectations for Gronk were sky high, but it’s been a tough comeback so far. He enters week 12 averaging a miniscule 8.6 points per game in PPR formats and is outside the top 10 in the tight end ranks, currently sitting at the TE 14. He has 3 games of over 4 receptions and has went over 80 yards only one time all season. The Bucs get the Kansas City Chiefs this week, who are no slouch against opposing tight end, coming into the week 12th in the NFL against the position. Gronk’s monstrous red zone presence has all but faded into the distance as well. Gronk has had 4 red zone scores all year which used to be the strength of his game. It’s not all been his fault this year, as he’s splitting reps with Howard and Brate. So, there has been less opportunity than originally expected. The Chiefs front four is very good and should be putting ample amounts of pressure on Tom Brady in this matchup. Dealing with less than stellar QB play and everything else we noted is enough to make me flash the hazard lights and swerve the pothole better known as Gronk for week 12.
Best of luck this week and Happy Thanksgiving to you all!